Dream Fight
Conor McGregor
17%
Ilia Topuria
83%
Each fighter as of their last UFC fight. The model knows their UFC results and fight stats, not how two styles would really play out, so this is for fun: on real fights it hadn't seen, its favorite won 65% of the time.
What the prediction is based on
Elo rating
favors Ilia Topuria
Age
favors Ilia Topuria
Record and form
favors Conor McGregor
Finishing
favors Ilia Topuria
Striking
favors Ilia Topuria
Grappling
favors Ilia Topuria
UFC experience
favors Ilia Topuria
Bar length is how much each factor moves the prediction. How the predictions work
Tale of the tape
| Conor McGregor | Ilia Topuria | |
|---|---|---|
| 10-5 | UFC record | 9-1 |
| 1842 | Elo rating | 2063 |
| L L L W L | Last 5 (newest first) | L W W W W |
| 8 | KO/TKO wins | 6 |
| 0 | Submission wins | 1 |
| 5 | Times finished | 1 |
| Jul 2026 | Last UFC fight | Jun 2026 |
| 5'9" | Height* | 5'7" |
| 74" | Reach* | 69" |
| – | Stance* | – |
* Shown for context. The model leaves height, reach, and stance out: they made its predictions worse on fights it hadn't seen.