Dream Fight

Pick any two UFC fighters, past or present, and see who the model favors.

vs
Jon Jones 80%
Alex Pereira 20%

Each fighter as of their last UFC fight. The model knows their UFC results and fight stats, not how two styles would really play out, so this is for fun: on real fights it hadn't seen, its favorite won 65% of the time.

What the prediction is based on

Elo rating
favors Jon Jones
Record and form
favors Alex Pereira
Striking
favors Jon Jones
Grappling
favors Jon Jones
Age
favors Jon Jones
Finishing
favors Jon Jones
UFC experience
favors Alex Pereira

Bar length is how much each factor moves the prediction. How the predictions work

Tale of the tape

Jon JonesAlex Pereira
22-1UFC record10-3
2291Elo rating2011
W W W W W Last 5 (newest first) L W L W W
6KO/TKO wins8
6Submission wins0
0Times finished2
Nov 2024Last UFC fightJun 2026
6'4"Height*6'4"
84.5"Reach*79"
OrthodoxStance*–

* Shown for context. The model leaves height, reach, and stance out: they made its predictions worse on fights it hadn't seen.