Dream Fight

Pick any two UFC fighters, past or present, and see who the model favors.

vs
Khabib Nurmagomedov 58%
Georges St-Pierre 42%

Each fighter as of their last UFC fight. The model knows their UFC results and fight stats, not how two styles would really play out, so this is for fun: on real fights it hadn't seen, its favorite won 65% of the time.

What the prediction is based on

Age
favors Khabib Nurmagomedov
Grappling
favors Khabib Nurmagomedov
Elo rating
favors Georges St-Pierre
Finishing
favors Khabib Nurmagomedov
Striking
favors Georges St-Pierre
Record and form
favors Georges St-Pierre
UFC experience
favors Khabib Nurmagomedov

Bar length is how much each factor moves the prediction. How the predictions work

Tale of the tape

Khabib NurmagomedovGeorges St-Pierre
13-0UFC record20-2
2167Elo rating2225
W W W W W Last 5 (newest first) W W W W W
2KO/TKO wins5
5Submission wins3
0Times finished2
Oct 2020Last UFC fightNov 2017
5'10"Height*5'10.5"
70"Reach*76"
OrthodoxStance*Orthodox

* Shown for context. The model leaves height, reach, and stance out: they made its predictions worse on fights it hadn't seen.